Arabica and Robusta Coffee continue to have carry yields very near 52-week highs

Coffee - Coffee Grounds in Espresso Machine

SpreadEdge Capital specializes in seasonal spread trading across a wide variety of commodity markets. A spread trade is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same commodity with different delivery dates.  SpreadEdge publishes a weekly Newsletter that provides several seasonal spread trade opportunities every week.

% Carry Yield

Futures calendar curves vary in shape over time. Some often invert, with front-month contract prices exceeding those of later contracts, resulting in positive carry. Conversely, some curves exhibit contango, leading to a negative carry.  Below are the % carry yields for most of the Ag markets.  Note that all data is based on the end of day close prices from Tuesday of each week.

 

Agriculture % Carry Yield

  • Arabica and Robusta Coffee continue to have a % carry yield that is very near the highest for the past 52 weeks.
  • Cotton has dropped from 8.8 to (2.0) over the past 12 weeks.
  • Cocoa continues to have the highest carry yield by a mile at 31.9.

52-Week Graphs

How to Trade These Markets

Seasonality for both markets is neutral so sticking with the bullish momentum is likely the best strategy.


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The SpreadEdge Weekly Newsletter is published every weekend and provides a broad overview of the important seasonal, technical, and fundamental indicators within the Energy, Grains, Meats, Softs, Metals and Currency markets.  In addition, spread trade recommendations and follow-up on open trades is also provided.  For a free copy of the Weekly Newsletter, please send an email to info@SpreadEdgeCapital.com

Darren Carlat

SpreadEdge Capital, LLC

(214) 636-3133

Darren@SpreadEdgeCapital.com

www.SpreadEdgeCapital.com

Disclaimer

SpreadEdge Capital, LLC is registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is an NFA member. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, The risk associated with futures trading is substantial. Only risk capital should be used for these investments because you can lose more than your original investment. This is not a solicitation.


On the date of publication, Darren Carlat did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.